Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (25.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -21 (67-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terence Harcum * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +18.7 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 36 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +19.2 |
| Kylen Milton * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -0.7 |
| JaCobi Wood * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +11.0 |
| Nick Ellington * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 31 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +23.8 |
| Justin Morgan | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Chew | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | -17.9 |
| Jestin Porter * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -18.6 |
| Camryn Weston * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Justin Bufford * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Essam Mostafa * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Jlynn Counter | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Chris Loofe | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Torey Alston | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Jacob Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
* = starter