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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gulf Coast Eagles UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% -

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. McLean 33 8-11 1-2 3-5 4 0 0 1 1 20 13 -3.0
D. Johnson 33 2-9 1-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 7 2 +0.7
K. Kellman 32 8-11 0-0 0-1 9 1 0 1 3 16 13 -9.2
R. Barno 26 1-7 0-2 1-2 4 1 3 0 1 3 3 -4.6
J. Muniz 24 3-6 0-2 3-5 2 3 0 0 2 9 6 -11.8
R. Stewart 23 3-5 3-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 +3.8
M. Duax 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -12.3
J. Reddick 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1.6
BB Washington 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.3
T. Guillouette 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -0.9

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Newby 32 7-13 4-9 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 21 11 +11.4
N. Hodge 29 4-6 2-4 1-4 3 1 1 0 0 11 10 +8.9
J. Corbin 27 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 +5.9
H. Obioha 23 3-3 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 0 0 9 14 +5.3
N. Ross 22 5-9 1-4 1-2 6 5 1 0 1 12 14 +1.5
S. Moore 21 1-4 1-4 4-4 6 3 2 0 1 7 13 +13.5
Bo Montgomery 17 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 +4.3
K. McGriff 16 2-5 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 0 5 5 -0.3
G. Williams 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 +1.3

* = starter