Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dezayne Mingo | 38 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -3.0 |
| Jalen Speer | 27 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Nate Martin | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +9.8 |
| Mikal Dawson | 22 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -9.4 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 16 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 2-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Ryan Nutter | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -1.7 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5.6 |
| Will Moore | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Erich Harding | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Cade Gibbs | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -8.6 |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 33 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Sean Moore | 31 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | +3.0 |
| Josh Corbin | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| G. Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Bo Montgomery | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Khamari McGriff | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Nolan Hodge | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.2 |
| Harlan Obioha | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | +2.1 |
| M. Mabor Makoi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter