Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williamson * | 38 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | +4.0 |
| N. Tarke * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | +5.3 |
| R. Hicks * | 29 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +8.5 |
| T. Sulaiman * | 16 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +4.0 |
| A. Samb * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +5.0 |
| M. Lowery | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | +3.2 |
| C. Embeya | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +2.7 |
| M. Jones | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -6.0 |
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ireland * | 38 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | -4.8 |
| J. West Jr. * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -6.1 |
| R. Brown III * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -5.3 |
| C. Robinson * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +2.3 |
| I. Cornish * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +1.2 |
| T. English | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -6.3 |
| M. Collins | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| S. Malone | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +0.4 |
| M. Gray Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter