Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman * | 34 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Xavier Brown * | 30 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -3.5 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -2.6 |
| AJ Smith * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Justin Taylor * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Noah Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.8 |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian May * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Nendah Tarke * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +6.6 |
| Dylan Williamson * | 30 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +13.2 |
| Tomiwa Sulaiman * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Abdou Samb * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mekhi Lowery | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Messiah Jones | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +13.5 |
| Rahdir Hicks | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -10.3 |
| Caleb Embeya | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.7 |
* = starter