Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 39 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | -14.5 |
| Deon Perry | 29 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Braden Sparks | 24 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | -14.9 |
| K. Jenkins | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -12.5 |
| Peyton Smith | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -12.9 |
| J. Bergens | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -17.8 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Noah Best | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +3.0 |
| B. Seck | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| M. Riek | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Rogan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 36 | 9-21 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 11 | +13.8 |
| Jack Collins | 36 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +20.8 |
| Madison Durr | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +6.7 |
| Jaret Valencia | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | +16.8 |
| Dok Muordar | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Morgan | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Aric Demings | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +7.9 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +10.0 |
| Andrew Ball | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Justin Ray | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jack Leahy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Corey Miller | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Sam Fagan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Lucas Orchard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Quinn Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter