Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaret Valencia * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -3.8 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. * | 35 | 12-19 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 9 | -4.8 |
| Jack Collins * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Chris Morgan * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Madison Durr * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +12.0 |
| Aric Demings | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -17.0 |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Meka | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Justin Ray | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Andrew Ball | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Antwi-Boasiako * | 36 | 8-13 | 6-7 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | +4.8 |
| Chrishawn Christmas * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +11.9 |
| Kyle Hayman * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Myles Jenkins * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Juhlawnei Stone * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -2.0 |
| Keith Lamar | 23 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Dominic Pangonis | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +0.9 |
| DaeVeon Scott | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +9.0 |
| Clayton Southwick | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter