Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks -10 (62-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +6.2 |
| N. Galette * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Ty Harper * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +7.7 |
| E.J. Farmer * | 23 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | +20.5 |
| G. Dynes * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Carroll | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +9.9 |
| J. Maxey | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -9.8 |
| S. Uijtendaal | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.2 |
| C. Kirkland | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Wilkerson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Durr * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | -5.3 |
| J. Collins * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.3 |
| A. Bashir Jr. * | 32 | 4-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | -10.1 |
| J. Valencia * | 24 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -6.0 |
| C. Morgan * | 22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -13.5 |
| J. Ray | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +8.2 |
| J. Meka | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +8.4 |
| C. Robinson Jr. | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
| A. Ball | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.6 |
| A. Demings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.9 |
* = starter