Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Dawson | 38 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | -13.8 |
| Jalen Speer | 32 | 0-10 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9 | -13.4 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | -10.4 |
| Ryan Nutter | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Nate Martin | 24 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -16.4 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 16 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +10.1 |
| Will Moore | 11 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -5.8 |
| Kaiden White | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.9 |
| Erich Harding | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Kai Spears | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Cade Gibbs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dorn | 38 | 9-15 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | +13.4 |
| Sam Sherry | 38 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | +14.4 |
| TJ Simpkins | 38 | 5-19 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 1 | +11.9 |
| D. King | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19 | +13.7 |
| Isaac Harrell | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Brayden Crump | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +5.7 |
| Kendall Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter