Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Giles | 37 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | -7.6 |
| Ronald Polite III | 28 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -2.5 |
| Malik Henry | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Joryam Saizonou | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Donovan Atwell | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Miles Jones | 17 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Akrum Ahemed | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Jalen Breath | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Muon Reath | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Demetrius Davis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +13.2 |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Simpkins | 39 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Sam Sherry | 34 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 10-13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 28 | +5.4 |
| Nick Dorn | 32 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Brayden Crump | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Matthew Van Komen | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Isaac Harrell | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +19.0 |
| D. King | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Kendall Campbell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Trey O'Neil | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.0 |
* = starter