Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Harrell * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -5.0 |
| N. Dorn * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | -2.3 |
| S. Sherry * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -0.3 |
| TK Simpkins * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -3.7 |
| D. King * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +6.4 |
| TJ Simpkins | 23 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| B. Crump | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6.2 |
| J. Rideout | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.9 |
| K. Campbell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Selden * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +1.9 |
| D. Simmons II * | 29 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +9.1 |
| P. Boyogueno * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +3.9 |
| J. Mann * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.8 |
| A. Badmus * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +0.7 |
| I. Richards | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +0.5 |
| C. Hawkins | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -3.4 |
| S. Lazar | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -0.8 |
| B. Mykalcio | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| J. Hudson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
* = starter