Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | -4.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +8 (84-76). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Nelson * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | -10.6 |
| Trevan Leonhardt * | 36 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -11.8 |
| Carter Welling * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | -12.2 |
| Tanner Toolson * | 27 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Potter * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -13.2 |
| Osiris Grady | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Hayden Welling | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Cory Wells | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Kylin Green | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +0.7 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Holloway * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Brownell * | 26 | 10-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | +8.7 |
| Rylan Jones * | 25 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +3.2 |
| Trey Fort * | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Julian Brown * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +15.4 |
| Josh Holloway | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Isaiah West | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +7.0 |
| Riley Allenspach | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Zion Wilburn | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter