Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Toolson * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Dominick Nelson * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Ethan Potter * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +8.4 |
| Carter Welling * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Trevan Leonhardt * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Kylin Green | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Cory Wells | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +6.0 |
| Hayden Welling | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Osiris Grady | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -2.8 |
| AJ Ferguson * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Terence Harcum * | 34 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | -4.6 |
| Nick Ellington * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Kylen Milton * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Alden Applewhite | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.5 |
| K. Lindsay-Martin | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
* = starter