Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +10 (78-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13.9 |
| Jaden Wells * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Kade Douglas * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Raysean Seamster * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 9 | -7.2 |
| Troy Hupstead * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Darius Burford | 29 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -7.1 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 27 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -6.0 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Cameron Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +7.1 |
| Dez White * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +14.7 |
| Jalen Hampton * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | +14.1 |
| Vincent Brady II * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +13.2 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Chase Martin | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.7 |
| Wesley Oba | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Logan Epes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter