Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ford | 37 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | -0.3 |
| J. Simpson | 34 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -0.3 |
| B. Felder | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 23 | -4.1 |
| J. Sibley | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -5.4 |
| T. Jackson | 29 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2.1 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +7.9 |
| L. Abellar | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| H. Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.5 |
| M. Lamin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Burdick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| X. Sykes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cook | 36 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| P. Filipovity | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | +1.9 |
| Z. Jackson | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -1.5 |
| D. Bostick | 29 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +10.3 |
| R. Carpenter | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.7 |
| J. Harris | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -4.6 |
| E. Tshimanga | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 |
| G. Pickens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +8.2 |
| C. Cherenfant | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.2 |
| N. Tshimanga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| E. Nnamoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter