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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% - โœ“
Margin 82.6% 17.4% -8.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -16 (57-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Heise 37 3-5 1-3 0-2 6 2 3 0 0 7 13 +15.7
Tamin Lipsey 36 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 6 7 +11.7
Curtis Jones 34 5-15 3-9 11-12 5 5 2 0 3 24 18 +12.2
Milan Momcilovic 32 2-8 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 -1 +2.0
Dishon Jackson 22 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 3 1 1 11 14 +14.5
Joshua Jefferson 21 6-10 2-2 0-0 7 2 2 0 4 14 11 +18.0
Brandton Chatfield 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 4 +3.3
Cade Kelderman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 +4.4

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dug McDaniel 35 3-11 1-5 7-8 1 6 1 0 3 14 8 -10.6
David N'Guessan 35 8-10 0-0 3-5 7 2 1 2 5 19 16 -14.2
Coleman Hawkins 33 2-7 0-3 0-1 9 5 1 2 5 4 9 -19.4
Brendan Hausen 28 1-7 1-5 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 -1 -11.7
Max Jones 27 3-9 0-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 7 0 -2.9
CJ Jones 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
David Castillo 13 0-3 0-3 3-4 2 1 2 0 0 3 5 -7.6
Mobi Ikegwuruka 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 4 +0.7
Ugonna Onyenso 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0
Spencer Bain 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter