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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: BYU Cougars +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ezra Ausar 35 5-11 0-2 2-3 12 0 0 0 3 12 10 -9.2
Gabe Madsen 26 3-14 3-14 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 -1 -19.8
Jake Wahlin 25 4-9 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 10 7 -0.2
Lawson Lovering 25 1-7 0-0 1-3 3 3 0 0 5 3 -3 -14.8
Mike Sharavjamts 21 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 0 -19.6
Keanu Dawes 21 1-3 0-0 4-5 7 0 1 0 2 6 9 -10.1
Miro Little 18 7-14 6-8 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 21 13 +10.1
Hunter Erickson 13 1-5 0-4 3-4 3 3 1 0 0 5 7 +12.7
Zach Keller 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 +7.0
Caleb Lohner 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -3.4
Mason Madsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.2

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Egor Demin 26 5-11 0-3 0-0 7 6 0 0 1 10 11 +8.8
Keba Keita 25 5-6 0-0 2-8 7 0 1 1 0 12 15 +24.1
Dallin Hall 24 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 5 5 +8.5
Mawot Mag 24 1-4 1-3 6-6 1 0 1 0 1 9 6 +11.2
Richie Saunders 24 5-10 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 14 11 +11.6
Trevin Knell 21 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 5 1 +10.1
Mihailo Boskovic 17 3-7 1-5 4-4 3 2 1 0 1 11 9 +10.0
Dawson Baker 16 4-7 3-5 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 15 10 -2.3
Fousseyni Traore 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 4 6 -11.1
Trey Stewart 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 -6.5

* = starter