Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +16 (91-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ruffin | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3.0 |
| S. Rancik | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -7.3 |
| A. Jakimovski | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -4.2 |
| RJ Smith | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -8.2 |
| F. Kossaras | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1.5 |
| B. Dak | 20 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -7.6 |
| E. Malone | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +5.8 |
| A. Diop | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +5.6 |
| T. Baskin | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -4.3 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hawkins | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | +5.9 |
| JT Toppin | 32 | 10-17 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 29 | +5.9 |
| C. Anderson | 28 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +8.7 |
| C. McMillian | 25 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +6.9 |
| K. Walton | 19 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +0.6 |
| K. Overton | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +5.1 |
| F. Federiko | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3.5 |
| C. Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Francis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter