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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% -
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% -
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% -
Points Off/Def 18.7% 81.3% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +16 (91-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ruffin 31 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 6 5 -3.0
S. Rancik 30 3-8 0-3 6-6 3 2 0 0 0 12 9 -7.3
A. Jakimovski 23 3-6 1-2 0-2 7 0 1 0 1 7 8 -4.2
RJ Smith 23 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 1 -8.2
F. Kossaras 23 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 1 3 -1.5
B. Dak 20 5-9 0-2 2-5 4 1 0 1 0 12 9 -7.6
E. Malone 19 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 10 2 +5.8
A. Diop 18 4-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 11 11 +5.6
T. Baskin 13 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 8 9 -4.3

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hawkins 34 1-4 1-3 0-1 4 7 2 0 2 3 10 +5.9
JT Toppin 32 10-17 2-2 8-9 14 1 1 1 1 30 29 +5.9
C. Anderson 28 4-11 3-7 1-1 2 4 2 0 0 12 9 -
Dar. Williams 27 4-10 2-5 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 11 4 +8.7
C. McMillian 25 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 15 11 +6.9
K. Walton 19 4-8 4-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 4 +0.6
K. Overton 19 2-6 1-4 3-3 3 1 0 1 0 8 7 +5.1
F. Federiko 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 -3.5
C. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Francis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter