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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.9% 18.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.1% 38.9% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe 38 7-14 3-7 1-2 7 3 2 0 1 18 15 -3.8
Norchad Omier 36 6-8 2-2 5-6 12 2 1 1 4 19 23 +1.9
Robert Wright 32 3-8 0-0 5-6 0 7 2 0 3 11 9 +2.2
Jalen Celestine 28 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 2 4 +0.6
Jayden Nunn 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 4 4 -2.9
Jeremy Roach 20 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -5 -0.3
Langston Love 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 +2.4
Marino Dubravcic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.3

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noah Reynolds 35 4-15 3-10 5-5 2 4 0 1 1 16 7 +5.4
Vasean Allette 33 4-12 0-1 1-2 5 4 4 0 5 9 5 +3.4
Trazarien White 31 5-13 1-6 0-0 7 2 3 0 0 11 10 +8.3
Ernest Udeh Jr. 30 1-1 0-0 0-2 8 1 2 1 1 2 12 -1.6
David Punch 19 2-5 0-0 5-5 1 0 0 2 2 9 5 +5.9
Jace Posey 18 1-1 1-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 2 3 6 -4.5
Micah Robinson 16 2-7 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 2 -1.6
Malick Diallo 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 +3.6
Brendan Wenzel 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.3

* = starter