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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Iowa State Cyclones Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +1.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +17 (84-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Love 35 2-15 2-10 4-4 2 3 2 0 4 10 -2 -19.5
J. Bradley 34 6-14 0-3 6-7 2 2 3 0 2 18 9 -18.2
H. Veesaar 32 2-6 0-2 4-4 5 0 1 0 2 8 6 -9.8
KJ Lewis 25 3-9 0-1 7-8 6 2 1 2 1 13 14 -10.8
C. Bryant 19 3-5 1-3 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 9 10 -11.5
T. Awaka 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -15.8
T. Townsend 13 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 5 9 +3.8
C. Martinez 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +4.0
A. Dell'Orso 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -10.8

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Momcilovic 34 5-10 4-7 3-4 0 3 0 0 0 17 10 +24.3
T. Lipsey 34 4-6 2-3 5-5 2 8 2 0 1 15 20 +29.0
N. Heise 27 5-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 12 9 +6.1
C. Jones 24 3-6 1-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 3 12 8 +14.7
K. Gilbert 23 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 7 6 -2 +3.5
B. Chatfield 23 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 10 13 -3.2
J. Jefferson 22 1-5 0-1 6-8 4 1 1 0 2 8 7 +14.2
D. Jackson 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 +11.5

* = starter