Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel | 35 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Max Jones | 33 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | +7.2 |
| David N'Guessan | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Brendan Hausen | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -5.8 |
| CJ Jones | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Macaleab Rich | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +9.3 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5.3 |
| David Castillo | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 37 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 17 | +0.9 |
| Darius Johnson | 35 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 17 | +2.0 |
| Dallan Coleman | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +6.8 |
| Mikey Williams | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Benny Williams | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4.8 |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Nils Machowski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter