Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Wahlin | 33 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +12.6 |
| Gabe Madsen | 32 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +20.4 |
| Ezra Ausar | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | +23.3 |
| Mike Sharavjamts | 27 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Lawson Lovering | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +7.0 |
| Keanu Dawes | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -19.0 |
| Miro Little | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Hunter Erickson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -23.2 |
| Zach Keller | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Caleb Lohner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.4 |
| Mason Madsen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -16.0 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 34 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 31 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 19 | +10.4 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 28 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +10.3 |
| Dallan Coleman | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +14.1 |
| Mikey Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -8.0 |
| Benny Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Nils Machowski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.9 |
| D. Johnson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter