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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David Punch 33 8-13 1-2 1-2 6 3 2 1 1 18 16 -10.0
Vasean Allette 32 6-18 1-4 0-0 6 4 3 0 3 13 5 -9.3
Noah Reynolds 31 4-15 0-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 8 -3 -13.0
Ernest Udeh Jr. 27 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 4 7 -11.3
Trazarien White 25 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 10 6 -13.2
Jace Posey 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 5 5 -7.6
Brendan Wenzel 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 +4.5
Malick Diallo 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -2.9
Micah Robinson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.2

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas 33 5-15 1-6 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 13 4 +14.8
Dillon Mitchell 33 4-5 0-0 4-4 13 1 1 0 0 12 22 +16.0
Jizzle James 29 7-16 1-6 3-3 4 4 0 0 3 18 7 +11.3
Aziz Bandaogo 27 3-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 0 7 13 +13.7
Josh Reed 27 5-5 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 13 10 +7.4
Dan Skillings Jr. 21 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 7 7 +7.3
Tyler Betsey 18 1-6 0-4 3-4 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 +10.0
CJ Fredrick Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.4
Rayvon Griffith 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.7
Arrinten Page 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1

* = starter