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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -
Points Off/Def 30.8% 69.2% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 37 1-9 0-1 2-3 4 8 7 2 4 4 12 -6.9
M. Momcilovic 35 4-14 2-9 6-6 5 1 1 0 2 16 7 +4.6
T. Lipsey 34 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 11 6 +2.5
N. Heise 32 4-5 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 12 10 +7.7
B. Chatfield 20 3-4 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 2 0 8 6 -5.3
D. Watson 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 +0.6
D. Jackson 14 1-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -2.7
C. Kelderman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -10.5
N. Indrusaitis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.6

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Uzan 36 7-10 3-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 4 19 11 -3.0
L.J. Cryer 35 11-17 5-7 1-1 5 1 1 0 2 28 16 +9.6
J. Roberts 34 1-6 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 4 6 +1.5
E. Sharp 29 3-5 2-4 3-4 1 2 1 0 3 11 7 +0.4
J. Francis 24 1-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 2 1 2 6 +3.2
J. Tugler 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 2 2 +7.9
T. Arceneaux 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -1.9
M. Wilson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.5

* = starter