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2025-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats West Virginia Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +2.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“

Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas 35 5-15 3-6 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 13 2 +0.7
Dillon Mitchell 33 5-8 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 10 5 +5.5
Josh Reed 27 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 4 3 +1.4
Aziz Bandaogo 26 1-1 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 3 0 4 16 -4.1
Jizzle James 26 6-20 1-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 13 -1 +1.8
Dan Skillings Jr. 21 4-5 2-2 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 10 14 +9.3
Tyler Betsey 18 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 +4.0
CJ Fredrick Jr. 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8
Arrinten Page 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.6
Rayvon Griffith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Powell 36 5-12 2-7 0-1 9 0 0 0 1 12 8 -0.8
Javon Small 36 5-11 2-5 4-4 3 4 0 0 3 16 9 +7.1
Sencire Harris 30 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 6 8 -1.3
Amani Hansberry 27 6-13 2-4 3-4 13 2 0 0 3 17 16 -1.3
Toby Okani 24 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 -3.3
Joseph Yesufu 23 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 -2.5
Eduardo Andre 13 1-3 0-0 1-1 4 2 1 1 0 3 8 -0.7
KJ Tenner 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -7.1

* = starter