Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 40 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 14-17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 18 | -6.5 |
| Darius Johnson | 30 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +3.4 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -12.1 |
| Mikey Williams | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | -8.1 |
| JJ Taylor | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Nils Machowski | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Rokas Jocius | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Dallan Coleman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -14.3 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Thompson | 33 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | +15.1 |
| Arturo Dean | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +15.9 |
| Khalil Brantley | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +7.7 |
| Abou Ousmane | 21 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +19.3 |
| Jamyron Keller | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Robert Jennings | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -7.0 |
| Marchelus Avery | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +10.2 |
| Brandon Newman | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Pat Suemnick | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Connor Dow | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Davonte Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter