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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Iowa State Cyclones Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% -
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% -

Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas 33 4-13 1-6 4-5 0 4 0 0 2 13 2 -6.4
A. Bandaogo 32 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 2 2 10 10 -5.0
J. James 27 9-16 5-9 2-2 1 2 0 0 5 25 7 -1.0
D. Mitchell 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 2 4 8 -4.0
S. Lukosius 24 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 4 -10.0
J. Reed 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 6 6 -8.8
T. Betsey 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.4
D. Skillings Jr. 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 1 2 1 0 -9.8
CJ Fredrick Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9
A. Page 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 32 5-9 0-0 3-4 7 2 3 0 4 13 12 +15.0
K. Gilbert 32 2-5 1-1 3-4 5 4 2 0 5 8 9 +7.8
T. Lipsey 31 3-3 2-2 3-5 5 0 4 0 3 11 14 +8.2
C. Jones 29 4-13 2-8 12-12 6 3 0 0 3 22 15 +4.9
M. Momcilovic 29 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 12 5 +9.1
D. Jackson 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 6 5 +8.0
B. Chatfield 16 3-4 0-0 3-3 6 0 1 0 0 9 12 -0.7
N. Heise 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.2

* = starter