Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 38 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -11.5 |
| Darius Johnson | 36 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -12.5 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 32 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -11.8 |
| Nils Machowski | 23 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | -5.6 |
| Mikey Williams | 23 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -14.0 |
| Dallan Coleman | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Benny Williams | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.7 |
| Rokas Jocius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
| JJ Taylor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rancik | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | +9.6 |
| RJ Smith | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +16.8 |
| J. Hammond III | 29 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +11.5 |
| A. Jakimovski | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +12.3 |
| B. Dak | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +2.3 |
| A. Diop | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +5.0 |
| J. Ruffin | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.9 |
| E. Malone | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +14.0 |
| T. Baskin | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +4.5 |
* = starter