Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | +22.6 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +5 (111-106). Ratings: 2024-25 season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 46 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| BJ Freeman * | 45 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | -3.6 |
| Adam Miller * | 43 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | -3.7 |
| Basheer Jihad * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -3.4 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -3.7 |
| Amier Ali | 34 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Joson Sanon | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -3.7 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance McMillian * | 49 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +3.9 |
| Dar. Williams * | 44 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | +3.7 |
| JT Toppin * | 44 | 17-22 | 1-1 | 6-11 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 35 | +3.8 |
| Elijah Hawkins * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | +3.8 |
| Kerwin Walton * | 25 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Christian Anderson | 37 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Federiko Federiko | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Overton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter