Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keshon Gilbert | 36 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +13.1 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 32 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +17.6 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | +19.5 |
| Curtis Jones | 27 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 21 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Nate Heise | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Dishon Jackson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Brandton Chatfield | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +2.7 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moustapha Thiam | 36 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -4.8 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 35 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | -5.8 |
| Darius Johnson | 34 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -14.2 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 30 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -16.3 |
| Mikey Williams | 28 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -15.4 |
| Dallan Coleman | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.5 |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Benny Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -12.6 |
* = starter