Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +30 (82-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Reynolds | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -17.5 |
| Vasean Allette | 30 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | -26.5 |
| David Punch | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.2 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -16.6 |
| Trazarien White | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -21.0 |
| Micah Robinson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -15.4 |
| Malick Diallo | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -13.4 |
| Jace Posey | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Brendan Wenzel | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Isaiah Manning | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.9 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keshon Gilbert | 31 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +35.5 |
| Curtis Jones | 28 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +27.4 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | +24.8 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 28 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | +23.6 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 22 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +25.8 |
| Dishon Jackson | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Nate Heise | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Brandton Chatfield | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.6 |
| JT Rock | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Cade Kelderman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Demarion Watson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Kayden Fish | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter