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2025-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 47.9% 52.1% +0.5 (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% -
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 35 3-11 1-7 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 7 5 -5.4
T. Lipsey 34 5-13 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 0 -14.7
K. Gilbert 33 5-16 1-5 0-2 1 0 3 0 2 11 -3 -13.2
D. Jackson 30 3-8 0-0 3-7 9 1 0 2 0 9 13 +6.0
J. Jefferson 29 3-13 0-3 5-6 6 3 2 2 2 11 9 -8.1
N. Heise 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 4 +1.0
D. Watson 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 0 2 10 -2.6
B. Chatfield 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -14.0
N. Indrusaitis 2 0-0 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +0.3

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris Jr. 35 4-6 0-0 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 12 13 +10.3
Z. Mayo 34 6-13 5-6 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 17 12 +8.0
H. Dickinson 33 7-12 0-1 0-1 9 1 0 4 2 14 14 +17.5
K.J. Adams Jr. 32 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 6 8 +5.6
R. Griffen 23 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -3.3
AJ Storr 17 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 2 +14.1
F. Bidunga 15 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 4 1 4 10 +5.0
D. Coit 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 +6.4
S. Moore 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 +1.9

* = starter