Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | -6.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Saunders | 30 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | +13.6 |
| Mawot Mag | 28 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | +16.0 |
| Egor Demin | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +12.6 |
| Dallin Hall | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Keba Keita | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | +21.8 |
| Trevin Knell | 20 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Fousseyni Traore | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -11.9 |
| Kanon Catchings | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Dawson Baker | 11 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Trey Stewart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Mihailo Boskovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ivy-Curry | 36 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Dallan Coleman | 35 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 32 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 15 | -5.8 |
| Darius Johnson | 30 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | -6.3 |
| Keyshawn Hall | 26 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | -14.3 |
| Nils Machowski | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Benny Williams | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +13.0 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.2 |
| D. Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rokas Jocius | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.1 |
* = starter