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2025-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 โœ— (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alston Mason 39 5-9 2-3 5-5 1 1 0 0 3 17 7 +5.7
Adam Miller 39 7-10 4-5 0-2 4 6 2 0 1 18 19 -0.7
Basheer Jihad 33 1-6 0-2 9-11 8 1 0 3 6 11 11 +6.5
Joson Sanon 30 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 -2 +2.4
Shawn Phillips Jr. 28 5-7 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 2 1 13 15 +8.8
Amier Ali 26 2-8 0-5 2-3 7 1 1 0 2 6 5 -6.7
BJ Freeman 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 +3.1
Trevor Best 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.9

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jakimovski 33 2-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 7 4 +3.5
J. Hammond III 33 5-16 0-5 3-3 5 4 0 0 2 13 4 -1.1
T. Baskin 31 7-11 1-2 4-6 4 1 4 0 2 19 15 +3.5
B. Dak 24 5-8 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 2 1 13 14 +2.5
S. Rancik 23 3-7 1-3 2-4 4 0 2 1 0 9 9 -2.0
J. Ruffin 18 2-5 1-2 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 +0.9
E. Malone 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 2 -3.0
RJ Smith 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -4.7
A. Diop 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -3.8
H. Carrington 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3.2

* = starter