Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gilbert | 42 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | -3.3 |
| C. Jones | 41 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| T. Lipsey | 41 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | -4.5 |
| J. Jefferson | 39 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +2.4 |
| D. Jackson | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +9.5 |
| D. Watson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12.6 |
| N. Heise | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.7 |
| B. Chatfield | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love | 41 | 8-22 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 3 | +6.9 |
| J. Bradley | 41 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| KJ Lewis | 37 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +10.5 |
| T. Awaka | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | -2.4 |
| C. Bryant | 27 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +9.6 |
| T. Townsend | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4.1 |
| H. Veesaar | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +10.1 |
| A. Dell'Orso | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 |
* = starter