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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% - โœ“
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% - โœ“

Actual: Utah Utes -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe 38 8-18 4-6 1-2 6 3 2 2 5 21 11 +10.8
Jayden Nunn 38 3-10 1-5 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 7 5 +8.1
Robert Wright 35 3-11 0-4 8-8 2 3 1 0 3 14 6 +1.7
Norchad Omier 30 6-9 2-3 8-10 12 2 2 1 2 22 28 +4.8
Jalen Celestine 27 3-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 7 4 +17.2
Josh Ojianwuna 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 8 +8.3
Jason Asemota 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.0

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miro Little 28 2-8 2-7 6-6 8 7 3 0 0 12 22 -2.0
Gabe Madsen 28 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 5 -1 -9.7
Ezra Ausar 27 7-12 0-1 5-11 7 1 2 2 2 19 17 -6.7
Lawson Lovering 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 2 -17.3
Hunter Erickson 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 0 -0.5
Keanu Dawes 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 -0.4
Jake Wahlin 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 4 4 -6.9
Mike Sharavjamts 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.6
Caleb Lohner 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 4 4 +7.2
Mason Madsen 8 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 6 +2.7
Zach Keller 4 1-1 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.7

* = starter