Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -15 (61-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 40 | 10-22 | 5-10 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 20 | +15.1 |
| T. Lipsey | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +15.6 |
| J. Jefferson | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 22 | +12.6 |
| K. Gilbert | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +17.4 |
| D. Watson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +16.1 |
| D. Jackson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +10.9 |
| N. Heise | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +0.4 |
| B. Chatfield | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -17.5 |
| BJ Freeman | 35 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -12.9 |
| B. Jihad | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 5 | -18.8 |
| A. Miller | 28 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | -15.3 |
| J. Sanon | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.0 |
| S. Phillips | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -11.6 |
| J. Quaintance | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -5.6 |
| A. Ali | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.8 |
| T. Best | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter