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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - โœ“
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Jones 36 3-8 1-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 9 4 -0.8
Coleman Hawkins 35 3-9 0-3 2-3 9 7 0 1 0 8 16 -1.5
Dug McDaniel 35 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 12 4 -3.4
David N'Guessan 30 6-10 0-0 1-4 11 4 0 2 3 13 17 +1.0
Brendan Hausen 22 4-10 4-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 12 3 +1.7
David Castillo 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 +4.1
Ugonna Onyenso 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1.8
CJ Jones 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -3.0
Mobi Ikegwuruka 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.3

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
VJ Edgecombe 38 8-13 3-7 11-12 1 3 2 0 1 30 22 +3.6
Jayden Nunn 35 1-6 1-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 4 4 +10.7
Norchad Omier 34 1-9 1-3 0-0 13 3 0 1 0 3 11 +4.4
Robert Wright 33 3-11 1-3 1-2 1 5 0 0 1 8 2 -1.2
Jalen Celestine 30 5-8 4-7 4-5 7 0 0 0 0 18 17 +10.9
Josh Ojianwuna 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -9.9
Jason Asemota 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 5 4 -2.2

* = starter