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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 โœ“ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars +34 (70-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keanu Dawes 25 2-4 1-1 2-4 9 1 0 0 2 7 11 -16.1
Jake Wahlin 24 2-7 0-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 0 5 5 -9.5
Gabe Madsen 23 3-10 2-8 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 8 -2 -20.4
Miro Little 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 6 0 -19.5
Lawson Lovering 21 1-5 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -19.5
Ezra Ausar 21 0-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 -2 -18.2
Mason Madsen 16 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 1 2 0 0 3 1 +2.0
Hunter Erickson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -4.7
Caleb Lohner 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -12.4
Zach Keller 12 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 +3.5
Mike Sharavjamts 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -3 -5.9

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrance Arceneaux 33 4-10 0-3 2-2 6 3 3 4 1 10 15 +22.7
Milos Uzan 25 6-9 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 14 11 +20.8
J'Wan Roberts 25 5-9 0-0 1-2 4 1 3 2 1 11 11 +22.6
Mylik Wilson 24 2-11 0-2 0-1 7 4 5 0 0 4 9 +14.6
L.J. Cryer 23 4-7 3-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 13 8 +25.4
Mercy Miller 18 0-5 0-3 7-8 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -4.1
Ja'Vier Francis 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 6 7 +22.8
Cedric Lath 14 0-0 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 2 1 1 7 -2.0
Joseph Tugler 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 2 0 4 9 +6.2
Kordelius Jefferson 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -1.9

* = starter