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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +7 (67-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alston Mason 40 5-13 2-4 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 13 1 -9.4
Jayden Quaintance 39 6-10 0-0 3-6 14 1 1 5 6 15 20 -7.5
BJ Freeman 37 5-14 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 12 5 -0.8
Adam Miller 36 2-9 2-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 1 -11.5
Basheer Jihad 33 2-8 0-3 4-4 7 5 1 0 3 8 10 +1.5
Amier Ali 8 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -6.5
Shawn Phillips Jr. 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -10.0

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Mitchell 30 6-10 0-1 2-3 3 2 3 2 1 14 13 +3.4
Aziz Bandaogo 27 1-1 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 3 0 2 13 +9.0
D. Thomas 26 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 4 1 1 2 6 7 +4.2
Simas Lukosius 25 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 0 4 0 2 10 7 +17.4
Dan Skillings Jr. 25 3-11 0-3 6-8 4 1 2 0 1 12 7 +8.4
Jizzle James 21 5-10 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 12 5 +0.1
CJ Fredrick Jr. 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 +4.5
Josh Reed 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -4.0
Tyler Betsey 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 +11.6
Arrinten Page 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 3 -4.0

* = starter