Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Mitchell | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Simas Lukosius | 28 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +7.1 |
| Aziz Bandaogo | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | +14.8 |
| D. Thomas | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Jizzle James | 22 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Josh Reed | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +0.2 |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Arrinten Page | 11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Tyler Betsey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hammond III | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -7.7 |
| B. Dak | 31 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 23 | -2.9 |
| A. Jakimovski | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.5 |
| S. Rancik | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -12.9 |
| T. Baskin | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -11.1 |
| H. Carrington | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.4 |
| J. Ruffin | 21 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | +9.5 |
| A. Diop | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5.7 |
* = starter