Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.8% | 16.2% | -9.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Hawkins | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -6.3 |
| Dar. Williams | 35 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | -9.5 |
| Chance McMillian | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Christian Anderson | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Federiko Federiko | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -6.4 |
| JT Toppin | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Kerwin Walton | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Kevin Overton | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2.7 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Jones | 39 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +6.8 |
| David N'Guessan | 37 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Brendan Hausen | 28 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Coleman Hawkins | 28 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Dug McDaniel | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +6.9 |
| David Castillo | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +11.9 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.6 |
| CJ Jones | 9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -2.9 |
* = starter