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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Johnson 37 7-19 3-10 1-1 5 2 1 0 2 18 5 -8.7
Keyshawn Hall 35 7-17 1-6 7-8 6 5 2 1 2 22 17 -6.8
Moustapha Thiam 30 4-8 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 2 1 8 11 -9.4
Jordan Ivy-Curry 28 2-11 1-9 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 5 0 -14.1
Dallan Coleman 19 1-7 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 3 1 -0.9
Mikey Williams 18 3-6 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 9 5 +7.5
Benny Williams 10 3-4 1-1 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 7 8 -3.7
Rokas Jocius 10 2-3 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +3.6
D. Johnson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
JJ Taylor 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -6.5

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Love 35 5-12 4-7 2-2 8 6 0 0 3 16 15 +13.0
Jaden Bradley 35 3-8 0-2 3-4 6 1 2 0 2 9 8 +8.1
Anthony Dell'Orso 27 2-5 2-3 9-9 3 3 1 0 1 15 16 +8.5
Henri Veesaar 23 5-8 2-4 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 14 11 +6.9
KJ Lewis 22 4-6 0-0 2-4 3 4 1 1 4 10 9 -4.6
Trey Townsend 22 2-8 1-3 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 9 5 +11.4
Carter Bryant 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 4 +2.3
Tobe Awaka 16 5-7 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 11 8 +5.5
Conrad Martinez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Emmanuel Stephen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter