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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 89.4% 10.6% -
Bradley-Terry 82.8% 17.2% -
Margin 92.9% 7.1% -14.1 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% -
Log Adjusted 95.3% 4.7% -
Points Off/Def 78.2% 21.8% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -30 (57-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.J. Cryer 31 3-8 1-3 4-4 1 2 0 0 0 11 6 +23.5
E. Sharp 31 5-8 3-6 2-2 4 1 3 0 0 15 15 +25.9
M. Uzan 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 6 +16.6
J. Roberts 29 5-13 0-0 0-1 6 3 1 0 0 10 7 +24.4
J. Tugler 26 5-9 0-1 3-6 10 2 0 2 1 13 17 +20.6
T. Arceneaux 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 8 8 +18.4
J. Francis 14 5-9 0-0 1-3 9 0 1 1 0 11 13 +4.4
M. Wilson 13 3-8 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 7 4 +4.4
M. Miller 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +0.7
K. Jefferson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +0.7
C. Lath 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDaniel 35 1-8 1-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 5 1 -26.6
M. Jones 31 4-9 2-4 3-5 0 4 0 0 0 13 8 -22.6
B. Hausen 29 5-11 5-11 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 15 4 -23.9
C. Hawkins 29 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 5 7 6 -14.5
D. N'Guessan 27 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 5 7 -21.0
U. Onyenso 21 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -10.7
CJ Jones 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 -5.9
D. Castillo 5 0-2 0-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -3.7
M. Ikegwuruka 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Bain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Manning 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -0.8

* = starter