Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VJ Edgecombe | 41 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Josh Ojianwuna | 39 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 25 | +1.9 |
| Jeremy Roach | 38 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +3.3 |
| Jayden Nunn | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +10.6 |
| Norchad Omier | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Robert Wright | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Jason Asemota | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.9 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason | 42 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Jayden Quaintance | 40 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Basheer Jihad | 38 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Adam Miller | 37 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +4.5 |
| BJ Freeman | 37 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +6.5 |
| Joson Sanon | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -10.7 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Amier Ali | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4.6 |
* = starter