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Iowa State Cyclones 85
@
Texas Tech Red Raiders 84
2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa State Cyclones Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - ✗
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 ✗ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✗
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - ✗

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -1 (84-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa State Cyclones

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 38 6-10 0-1 5-6 8 1 1 0 2 17 15 +7.6
K. Gilbert 37 5-11 1-2 3-6 2 4 4 0 6 14 7 +0.9
C. Jones 35 8-15 3-7 7-8 1 0 2 0 0 26 14 +2.4
T. Lipsey 33 3-5 1-3 2-2 0 2 4 1 4 9 7 +8.4
N. Heise 31 1-6 0-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 2 6 +13.5
B. Chatfield 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 4 10 +8.9
M. Momcilovic 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 3 +6.6
D. Jackson 13 4-5 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 1 0 8 5 -6.5

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. McMillian 43 6-11 1-3 5-6 8 0 0 0 3 18 12 -2.0
C. Anderson 38 6-11 4-4 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 18 11 -
Dar. Williams 37 5-14 2-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 4 15 6 -7.6
JT Toppin 34 8-16 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 0 1 18 10 -3.2
E. Hawkins 31 1-6 0-3 5-6 1 10 1 1 0 7 14 +1.0
K. Overton 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -6.2
F. Federiko 15 0-0 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 1 3 9 -7.9
K. Walton 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.7

* = starter