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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 โœ“ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +20 (68-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Mitchell 31 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 0 -2 -1.6
Aziz Bandaogo 30 4-4 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 2 3 11 12 -7.2
Dan Skillings Jr. 30 6-11 5-7 1-4 2 0 0 2 1 18 10 -13.1
Simas Lukosius 29 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 5 6 -3.8
Jizzle James 25 2-11 0-3 1-2 5 0 1 1 3 5 -2 -1.6
D. Thomas 21 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 5 -11.3
Arrinten Page 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -2.8
Connor Hickman 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -8.1
Tyler Betsey 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -11.6
Josh Reed 3 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 +0.2
Rayvon Griffith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
CJ Fredrick Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.6

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Roach 36 3-8 0-3 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 6 2 +9.1
Jayden Nunn 34 3-9 2-6 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 +5.8
VJ Edgecombe 30 7-13 2-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 18 11 +10.6
Norchad Omier 28 7-9 1-1 3-3 10 3 2 1 1 18 24 +16.1
Robert Wright 28 2-6 0-0 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 7 6 +13.5
Josh Ojianwuna 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 10 6 +3.4
Jason Asemota 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 +16.5
Omar Adegbola 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Davidson Hubbard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Marino Dubravcic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter