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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 77.2% 22.8% -6.7 โœ“ (44.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -51 (48-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K.J. Adams Jr. 24 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 3 0 2 1 7 14 +18.6
Zeke Mayo 24 3-10 0-4 0-1 5 8 0 0 1 6 8 +30.9
Hunter Dickinson 23 12-17 0-1 3-3 9 1 1 3 4 27 20 +51.7
Dajuan Harris Jr. 23 5-13 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 11 6 +13.4
Flory Bidunga 21 6-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 6 0 12 16 +19.0
Shakeel Moore 20 2-5 2-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 6 9 +34.2
Rylan Griffen 18 4-4 4-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 14 14 +26.1
David Coit 17 1-8 1-6 0-2 3 4 3 0 0 3 5 +25.2
AJ Storr 15 5-8 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 11 10 +20.2
Rakease Passmore 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 2 +6.8
Dillon Wilhite 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.8
Wilder Evers 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyshawn Hall 29 4-17 2-8 2-2 6 1 3 1 0 12 6 -39.1
Darius Johnson 26 1-8 1-6 0-0 4 2 3 1 5 3 0 -27.0
Jaylin Sellers 21 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 1 -25.2
Moustapha Thiam 19 1-5 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -10.1
Jordan Ivy-Curry 19 1-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -17.1
Dallan Coleman 17 3-4 3-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 9 6 -17.2
Benny Williams 16 0-5 0-1 0-1 3 4 0 1 0 0 3 -32.7
JJ Taylor 13 0-4 0-2 3-7 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 -15.5
Rokas Jocius 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -8.9
Mikey Williams 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -14.6
D. Johnson 6 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Nils Machowski 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.8
Tyler Hendricks 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 -6.8

* = starter