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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% - โœ—
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
David N'Guessan 36 5-8 0-1 0-2 17 4 0 1 2 10 22 +1.1
Dug McDaniel 35 6-15 0-4 0-1 5 5 2 0 1 12 8 +0.2
Coleman Hawkins 31 5-14 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 2 5 11 4 -3.8
Brendan Hausen 31 3-7 3-7 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 10 7 +2.1
Max Jones 30 2-11 2-7 1-1 8 0 0 1 1 7 4 +3.4
CJ Jones 19 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 -3.0
Macaleab Rich 11 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 4 +2.4
David Castillo 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.1
Mobi Ikegwuruka 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trazarien White 35 4-10 3-4 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 8 -3.3
Vasean Allette 35 6-16 0-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 14 2 +1.0
Noah Reynolds 34 7-13 1-2 3-3 3 2 0 0 3 18 7 +1.1
Ernest Udeh Jr. 31 1-6 0-0 0-1 12 4 2 1 0 2 15 -4.9
David Punch 19 2-6 0-1 1-5 5 1 1 0 1 5 5 +7.8
Brendan Wenzel 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1.3
Isaiah Manning 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 +2.8
Malick Diallo 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 +6.9
Micah Robinson 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -4.2
Jace Posey 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter