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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% -
Bradley-Terry 70.3% 29.7% -
Margin 73.1% 26.9% -5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bradley 38 5-9 0-0 5-7 2 2 0 0 2 15 8 -2.3
C. Love 37 3-15 2-8 4-6 6 0 2 1 2 12 4 +2.1
KJ Lewis 26 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 3 9 5 -4.2
H. Veesaar 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 8 4 2 2 0 8 19 -2.7
T. Townsend 24 2-7 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 3 -15.1
A. Dell'Orso 20 1-3 0-2 4-4 0 1 1 1 1 6 5 +11.7
C. Bryant 15 5-5 3-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 14 13 +12.7
T. Awaka 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 -4.4

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. James 31 3-11 0-2 1-2 4 5 0 0 3 7 2 +7.0
D. Skillings Jr. 30 6-14 2-7 4-6 6 2 1 1 1 18 13 +5.5
D. Mitchell 30 6-8 1-3 0-5 7 0 2 0 1 13 13 +9.6
S. Lukosius 29 2-6 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 3 9 6 +6.4
A. Bandaogo 28 2-3 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 2 1 5 12 +6.7
D. Thomas 21 4-12 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 -1 -4.2
T. Betsey 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -9.8
A. Page 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 5 -2.6
C. Hickman 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.0
J. Reed 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter